Minority Report

Winton, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hertford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)72°50°14%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°20%
German model (ICON)70°47°15%
Canadian model (GEM)71°48°5%
The average71°47°11%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°5%
US model (GFS)57°42°4%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°4%
German model (ICON)57°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)59°45°5%
The average58°40°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°0%
The average53°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°29°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.