Minority Report

Wise, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wise County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 37°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 80%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°59%
US model (GFS)48°38°72%
German model (ICON)52°39°88%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°100%
The average50°37°80%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 81%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°28°81%
US model (GFS)39°31°64%
German model (ICON)39°33°85%
Canadian model (GEM)38°33°95%
The average39°31°81%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 37%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°28°11%
US model (GFS)36°27°9%
German model (ICON)36°31°53%
Canadian model (GEM)35°27°75%
The average36°28°37%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°0%
US model (GFS)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)44°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°27°0%
The average42°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.