Minority Report

Woodbury, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gloucester County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 47°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°65%
US model (GFS)66°49°72%
European model (ECMWF)64°49°100%
German model (ICON)60°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°100%
The average64°47°87%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 91%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°35°81%
US model (GFS)51°35°80%
European model (ECMWF)49°37°100%
German model (ICON)50°39°93%
Canadian model (GEM)50°37°100%
The average49°37°91%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°36°0%
US model (GFS)46°35°19%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°25%
German model (ICON)48°36°73%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°64%
The average47°36°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°0%
US model (GFS)49°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°2%
German model (ICON)49°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°0%
The average49°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.