Minority Report

Woodsfield, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 41°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°56%
US model (GFS)47°41°86%
European model (ECMWF)49°42°100%
German model (ICON)50°41°98%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°91%
The average49°41°86%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 39%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°21%
US model (GFS)42°32°26%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°88%
German model (ICON)43°32°35%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°23%
The average45°33°39%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 21%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 21%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°18%
US model (GFS)42°34°28%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°16%
German model (ICON)44°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°33%
The average44°32°21%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 5%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°1%
US model (GFS)45°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°4%
German model (ICON)46°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°15%
The average45°34°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.