Minority Report

Woodstock, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McHenry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°1%
US model (GFS)46°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°33%
German model (ICON)42°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°14%
The average44°33°10%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°3%
US model (GFS)41°30°5%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°0%
German model (ICON)42°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°5%
The average41°30°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)44°28°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average44°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°20°0%
The average46°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.