Minority Report

Woodstock, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shenandoah County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 86 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 41%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°12%
US model (GFS)63°42°21%
German model (ICON)61°47°98%
Canadian model (GEM)60°41°33%
The average61°42°41%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°13%
US model (GFS)48°32°3%
German model (ICON)48°37°20%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°11%
The average48°33°12%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°3%
US model (GFS)47°30°2%
German model (ICON)46°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°30°6%
The average47°31°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°31°0%
The average50°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.