Minority Report

Woodville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tyler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)77°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°55°0%
German model (ICON)78°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°58°0%
The average77°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°45°0%
US model (GFS)71°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°53°0%
German model (ICON)70°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°52°0%
The average72°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 45°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 8%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°46°5%
US model (GFS)66°44°7%
European model (ECMWF)65°47°20%
German model (ICON)62°42°10%
Canadian model (GEM)64°49°0%
The average65°45°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 47°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 16°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°47°79%
US model (GFS)69°47°68%
European model (ECMWF)53°46°94%
German model (ICON)53°47°77%
Canadian model (GEM)64°48°80%
The average61°47°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.