Minority Report

Woodward, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Woodward County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)71°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°45°0%
German model (ICON)71°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°42°0%
The average69°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°39°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average56°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°37°98%
US model (GFS)55°34°82%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°95%
German model (ICON)57°39°85%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°94%
The average54°37°91%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 39°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 92%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°75%
US model (GFS)45°40°92%
European model (ECMWF)45°41°99%
German model (ICON)43°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°95%
The average44°39°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.