Minority Report

Wooster, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wayne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°46%
US model (GFS)48°40°89%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°41°100%
The average49°40°87%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 71%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°31°88%
US model (GFS)42°34°52%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°63%
German model (ICON)43°35°63%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°87%
The average42°34°71%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°32°15%
US model (GFS)42°34°44%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°48%
German model (ICON)44°31°43%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°77%
The average43°31°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°7%
US model (GFS)45°38°7%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°12%
German model (ICON)48°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°11%
The average45°34°8%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.