Minority Report

Wrangell City and Borough, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wrangell City and Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 87 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°42°13%
US model (GFS)41°36°100%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°100%
German model (ICON)47°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°100%
The average44°38°83%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 77%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°45°44%
US model (GFS)42°36°94%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°92%
German model (ICON)47°42°68%
Canadian model (GEM)45°40°86%
The average45°39°77%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 42°   Rain 85%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 85%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°43°92%
US model (GFS)46°40°67%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°90%
German model (ICON)50°45°84%
Canadian model (GEM)49°44°91%
The average49°42°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°44°100%
US model (GFS)46°37°84%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°99%
German model (ICON)50°42°88%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°96%
The average48°40°93%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.