Minority Report

Yabucoa Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yabucoa Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 87°   Low 79°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°40%
US model (GFS)86°79°56%
European model (ECMWF)86°80°100%
German model (ICON)87°80°33%
Canadian model (GEM)88°77°33%
The average87°79°52%

Friday, November 13

High 86°   Low 79°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°77°40%
US model (GFS)85°80°52%
European model (ECMWF)85°80°100%
German model (ICON)87°82°33%
Canadian model (GEM)85°78°95%
The average86°79°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 79°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°76°50%
US model (GFS)85°80°58%
European model (ECMWF)85°79°100%
German model (ICON)86°82°28%
Canadian model (GEM)86°78°93%
The average86°79°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 86°   Low 77°   Rain 17%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 17%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°76°9%
US model (GFS)85°78°7%
European model (ECMWF)85°79°27%
German model (ICON)88°79°30%
Canadian model (GEM)86°75°14%
The average86°77°17%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.