Minority Report

Yakima, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yakima County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 41°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°4%
US model (GFS)50°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°0%
German model (ICON)52°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°44°10%
The average51°41°3%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°36°70%
US model (GFS)50°40°63%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°75%
German model (ICON)50°38°75%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°31%
The average53°39°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 28%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°37°51%
US model (GFS)56°38°60%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°12%
German model (ICON)56°42°18%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°1%
The average56°39°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 67%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 67%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°51%
US model (GFS)51°47°60%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°75%
German model (ICON)53°43°71%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°76%
The average52°40°67%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.