Minority Report

Yakutat City and Borough, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yakutat City and Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35°   Low 29°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service34°26°58%
US model (GFS)35°28°100%
European model (ECMWF)35°28°100%
German model (ICON)36°33°100%
Canadian model (GEM)35°29°100%
The average35°29°92%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 29°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 70%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°32°96%
US model (GFS)37°27°27%
European model (ECMWF)34°22°66%
German model (ICON)36°33°68%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°93%
The average36°29°70%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°32°92%
US model (GFS)41°35°89%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°100%
German model (ICON)44°35°98%
Canadian model (GEM)38°30°100%
The average40°33°96%

Sunday, November 15

High 40°   Low 34°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°33°82%
US model (GFS)41°35°84%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°80%
German model (ICON)45°39°76%
Canadian model (GEM)36°29°77%
The average40°34°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.