Minority Report

Yanceyville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Caswell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 44°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 26%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°2%
US model (GFS)69°44°25%
European model (ECMWF)68°48°35%
German model (ICON)68°44°53%
Canadian model (GEM)69°47°14%
The average69°44°26%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°31°8%
US model (GFS)54°39°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°18%
German model (ICON)56°35°8%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°0%
The average56°38°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°2%
US model (GFS)52°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°6%
German model (ICON)52°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°0%
The average52°32°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)58°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°28°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.