Minority Report

Yell County, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)66°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°43°0%
German model (ICON)66°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°47°0%
The average66°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average54°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°4%
US model (GFS)55°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°31°0%
The average52°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 42%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°30%
US model (GFS)57°36°32%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°46%
German model (ICON)51°33°45%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°57%
The average52°36°42%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.