Minority Report

York, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of York County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 45°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)69°47°30%
European model (ECMWF)69°48°47%
German model (ICON)69°43°5%
Canadian model (GEM)69°48°10%
The average69°45°18%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°35°2%
US model (GFS)54°40°9%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°2%
German model (ICON)57°37°5%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°0%
The average55°38°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°0%
The average53°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)56°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°25°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.