Minority Report

Yorktown, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of York County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 50°   Rain 15%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°10%
US model (GFS)72°51°16%
German model (ICON)69°52°25%
Canadian model (GEM)70°50°10%
The average70°50°15%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°40°6%
US model (GFS)56°42°1%
German model (ICON)53°40°3%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°5%
The average54°41°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°40°0%
US model (GFS)52°38°1%
German model (ICON)51°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°0%
The average51°38°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°0%
US model (GFS)55°38°0%
German model (ICON)55°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°39°0%
The average54°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.