Minority Report

Yreka, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Siskiyou County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 39°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°35%
US model (GFS)68°41°1%
European model (ECMWF)68°43°0%
German model (ICON)66°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°37°14%
The average67°39°10%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 97%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°98%
US model (GFS)50°40°89%
European model (ECMWF)51°42°100%
German model (ICON)55°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°100%
The average52°40°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 83 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°38°98%
US model (GFS)50°36°43%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°55%
German model (ICON)54°42°15%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°76%
The average53°39°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 98%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°98%
US model (GFS)47°42°95%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°100%
German model (ICON)49°38°95%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°100%
The average49°37°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.