Minority Report

Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 19°   Low 12°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service17°10°9%
US model (GFS)14°4°3%
European model (ECMWF)17°12°4%
German model (ICON)23°17°13%
Canadian model (GEM)23°18°5%
The average19°12°7%

Friday, November 13

High 17°   Low 10°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 11%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service15°12°44%
US model (GFS)12°3°3%
European model (ECMWF)18°10°0%
German model (ICON)20°15°8%
Canadian model (GEM)18°12°2%
The average17°10°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 17°   Low 10°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service16°10°40%
US model (GFS)13°-1°39%
European model (ECMWF)18°14°37%
German model (ICON)20°11°38%
Canadian model (GEM)18°14°38%
The average17°10°38%

Sunday, November 15

High 16°   Low 11°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 22%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service14°12°11%
US model (GFS)11°3°10%
European model (ECMWF)17°13°39%
German model (ICON)24°14°21%
Canadian model (GEM)16°14°29%
The average16°11°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.