Minority Report

Yuma, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yuma County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 86°   Low 57°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service85°62°10%
US model (GFS)86°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)86°58°0%
German model (ICON)86°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)86°51°0%
The average86°57°2%

Friday, November 13

High 80°   Low 60°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°58°10%
US model (GFS)80°60°5%
European model (ECMWF)79°64°16%
German model (ICON)81°64°35%
Canadian model (GEM)80°56°10%
The average80°60°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 78°   Low 56°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°57°1%
US model (GFS)75°56°2%
European model (ECMWF)79°59°0%
German model (ICON)79°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)80°50°0%
The average78°56°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 78°   Low 59°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°57°1%
US model (GFS)77°62°0%
European model (ECMWF)79°60°0%
German model (ICON)78°64°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°53°0%
The average78°59°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.