Minority Report

Zanesville, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Muskingum County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 42°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°72%
US model (GFS)50°43°92%
European model (ECMWF)50°43°100%
German model (ICON)50°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)49°44°100%
The average50°42°92%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°28%
US model (GFS)43°34°49%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°100%
German model (ICON)44°34°63%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°76%
The average45°34°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°9%
US model (GFS)44°32°8%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°13%
German model (ICON)45°30°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°54%
The average45°31°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°2%
German model (ICON)49°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°0%
The average47°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.