Zapata, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Zapata County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 78° Low 61° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 57° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 62° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 61° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 62° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 78° | 61° | 0% |
| The average | 78° | 61° | 1% |
High 78° Low 60° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 77° | 62° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 60° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 59° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 76° | 61° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 78° | 59° | 0% |
| The average | 78° | 60° | 5% |
High 78° Low 64° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 76° | 66° | 38% |
| US model (GFS) | 75° | 64° | 56% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 79° | 63° | 23% |
| German model (ICON) | 79° | 66° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 81° | 60° | 19% |
| The average | 78° | 64° | 31% |
High 81° Low 66° Rain 13%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 81° | 63° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 81° | 67° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 80° | 66° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 80° | 68° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 84° | 69° | 26% |
| The average | 81° | 66° | 13% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.